Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.229045 0.264394 0.303181 0.348868 0.401187 0.459205 0.528401
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.173736 0.219711 0.274676 0.345124 0.432920 0.538634 0.675503
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.134501 0.184970 0.250240 0.340587 0.462153 0.619802 0.839518
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.106656 0.158577 0.230799 0.338131 0.493089 0.708138 1.028643
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.086668 0.138571 0.215822 0.338429 0.527296 0.806204 1.248134
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.073048 0.124958 0.207219 0.345948 0.572775 0.927346 1.521450
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.060484 0.110285 0.194006 0.343479 0.601884 1.027790 1.779431
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.052292 0.101187 0.188018 0.351444 0.648871 1.163542 2.116061
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.043893 0.089916 0.176046 0.346515 0.672287 1.262586 2.405234
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.038302 0.082769 0.170170 0.351466 0.714013 1.399606 2.782943
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.032222 0.073347 0.158125 0.342154 0.726653 1.484262 3.075060
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.029070 0.069437 0.156392 0.353217 0.781336 1.657239 3.564636
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026391 0.066127 0.155535 0.366466 0.843845 1.857351 4.144711
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023061 0.060604 0.148817 0.365652 0.876028 1.999863 4.627027
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020119 0.055388 0.141826 0.362937 0.903532 2.136607 5.118545
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017701 0.050976 0.135920 0.361726 0.934349 2.285407 5.660503
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015750 0.047377 0.131351 0.362991 0.971386 2.454098 6.274877
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014383 0.045100 0.129770 0.371690 1.028572 2.679250 7.059387
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012752 0.041686 0.124479 0.369481 1.057121 2.838456 7.704657
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011724 0.039859 0.123258 0.378330 1.116817 3.085141 8.610230
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010368 0.036686 0.117541 0.373238 1.137141 3.232546 9.277492
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009486 0.034862 0.115503 0.378694 1.188574 3.470878 10.226197
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008307 0.031741 0.108847 0.368774 1.193174 3.581345 10.837522